Beware of Inflation:
What is inflation? - Rise in price of goods and services
What is the method India uses to calculate Inflation?
WPI – Wholesale Price Index is the method used by India to calculate Inflation. It was first published in 1902 and prevailed to be one of the most significant economic indicators to policy makers until 1970, in which, the developed countries replaced it by CPI – Consumer Price Index.
Effects of Inflation:
- Rise in price of Food and Energy
- Credit Boom (Borrowing as become much easier & cheaper)
- Domestic
- India makes more exports and thus, found way to expand their foreign reserves
- Rise in demand
- Fall in supply
- Fall in value of money
- Government & Private adapted increased spending habits
- Global Factors
- Developed countries make more Imports
How to tackle Inflation?
- Banning Exports
- Giving out Import Licenses
- Revaluation of Money (Cancel the previous devaluation)
My Comments:
Why do we need to be aware of Inflation? India is a socialist country. Not all people in India are equipped to deal with the increased price rates. The price of commodities does not always suppose to be reasonable. For instance, the price of milk arose because milk was exported and the foreign importers were ready to pay the milkmen more money than we pay. Consequently, our milkmen refused to sell milk to us unless we pay them what the foreigners pay. The true fact is, the milk for which we pay does not deserve the amount.
But in another sense, the milkmen have to get paid more because the inflation has caused rise of prices and he needs to pay more for purchase of other commodities such as food for the cows, and his personal necessities.
So what is the moral, inflation is caused due to gross greed in money. How could it be avoided is another question. The government has to be firm in limiting the exports and fixing the prices for local commodities. For example, the government should restrict export to some 35% and the rest 65% should be sold within in India @ a separate price without comparison to the goods exported.
Moreover, the Indian government has a problem in the method of calculating Inflation. It follows WPI method which was replaced with CPI method by almost all developed countries in the year 1970. WPI means Wholesale Product Indices where the calculation is made on the price of Wholesale commodities whereas CPI means Consumer Price Indices where the calculation is made on the price of the end consumer.
CPI is better equipped because, now-a-days there is a vast difference of cost between the Wholesaler and the End Consumer. This difference was caused by modernisation which is considered to be essential and unavoidable whatever the circumstance may be. It is reasonable because, upgradation is preferred rather than degradation. But whatever we pay prefer, from the results, it is clear that the society is degrading.
Who do I criticize for Inflation?
At this juncture, many freshers who have got their first employment in a foreign company or foreign based Indian company might feel happy. The reason is they are highly paid. An engineer in Tata Consultancy Services is paid better than an Engineer in Chennai Metropolitan Water Supply and Sewerage Board.
These highly paid freshers are those, who I’m going to criticize for causing Inflation. Having not much experience in economics and/or money management, most of them lack the significance of negotiating and proper utilization of money.
Finally one day, they have outnumbered the current civilization. Congrats. The previous civilization in India was money conscious because they counted each and every coin of money they spend. Recent trend has changed a lot with the invention of advanced banking technologies. Most people would not have seen money for months. Their salary would get credited in their Bank Accounts. They’d use online transfer to pay their rent, etc. They’d use their credit cards for purchases making practical usage of money virtually impossible.
So, you are not going to hesitate when someone asks Rs.100/- for only some Rs.70/- worth good. You are going to believe that he has rendered some sort of service for the extra Rs.30/- which of course he has not.
When these people are large in number, the merchants and service renders get accustomed to ask for more and finally are going to reject others who do not comply with because the merchants already have their clients.
Take this example for instance. Few years back, auto drivers used to crowd around customers even before we approach an auto. They had respect for customers and at least few auto drivers considered reasonable price for the distance covered. To make more money, they tried share-auto technique instead of bargaining and blaming.
The scenario at present is vastly different. Most auto-drivers won’t stop for you even if you signal them. It is the auto-drivers who fix the price, neither the government nor the customer. They prefer you to comply with. And if you don’t, don’t expect them to be negotiating. They’d ignore you because they have clients for themselves. Those freshers are their clients.
The government too have changed in recent days by introducing new buses @ higher cost. If you mind making a survey, you would find the difference in the class of people using the various classes of buses.
People with money power have thus played an important role in the cause of inflation thus making the distance between economically lower class and upper middle class further.
How do the affected people cope up?
Here, I need to tell you one of the most interesting effects of inflation: Availability of plenty of money. This availability has made borrowing easier and cheaper than before. With availability of lots of money, people artificial or natural, tend to lend it for some profit (interest).
It is a principle that, when something is available in plenty, its value depreciates. For instance, take water. Similarly, when money is available in large, its value depreciates and thus people prefer rather to get rid of money by spending it. So, the habit of saving money is not in practice. Instead, money is converted into shares, gold, technology, etc.
This problem could be tackled by revaluing money to an appreciated value.
The rupee value was devalued twice, since India as a developing country did more import than export and was suffering deflation. In 1966, unable to tackle the first major financial crisis the Indian government faced, it was necessary for India to devaluate the rupee value. In 1991, though it was not necessary, the PV Narasimha Rao government volunteered to liberalize financial crisis. India suffered such deflation and devaluation primarily because it viewed exports in a soviet view.
If devaluation is a remedy undertaken during deflation, likewise, the government should pursue the opposite as a remedial measure to tackle inflation.